Eerste Divisie Gameweek 26
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Reuven Niemeijer 14' goal
  • Nils Eggens 47' goal
  • Nils Eggens 55' goal
  • Denzel Eijken 61' yellowcard
  • Kaya Symons 61' yellowcard
  • Kyano Kwint 70' yellowcard
  • Jevon Simons 70' yellowcard
  • Kyano Kwint 75' goal
  • Milan Smits 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kennynho Kasanwirjo 46'
  • yellowcard Luuk Beekman 69'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Ouazane 70'
  • yellowcard D. Kalokoh 79'

De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.30pm
Helmond 0 - 0 De Graafschap
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Bouke Boersma

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 7.00pm
Jong Ajax 2 - 1 Willem II
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Abdellah Ouazane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 63.56%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 19.47% and a draw had a probability of 16.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

De Graafschap 63.56% (+0.20)
Draw 16.97% (-0.06)
Jong Ajax 19.47% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.08% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.83% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 11.17% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 73.81% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 26.19% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 53.78% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 46.22% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 38.31% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 61.69% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

De Graafschap 50.62% (+0.19)
Draw 30.39% (-0.13)
Jong Ajax 18.99% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

De Graafschap 65.79% (+0.08)
No Goal 2.2% (+0.03)
Jong Ajax 32.01% (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 73.62% (+0.02)
Equal 8 8.75% (+0.01)
Under 8 17.63% (-0.02)
Over 9 63.47% (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.14%
Under 9 26.38% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 52.67% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 47.32% (+0.01)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 1.5 68.67% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 31.33% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 45.09% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 54.91% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 23.87% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 76.13% (-0.08)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 56.89% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 43.11% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 30.51% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 69.49% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 11.43% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 88.57% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 3.96% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 96.04% (+0.09)

Score analysis

De Graafschap 63.57%
Draw 16.97%
Jong Ajax 19.46%
De Graafschap
2-1 @ 8.7% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.87% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.54% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 6.09%
1-0 @ 5.78% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.16% (+0.08)
Other @ 23.43% (+0.08)
Total : 63.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.62% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.2% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.44% (-0.02)
Total : 16.97%
Jong Ajax
1-2 @ 5.52% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 3.19% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.86% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.52% (-0.07)
Total : 19.46%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Oct 3, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 35
Apr 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Jack Cooper Love 2' goal
  • Donny Warmerdam 5' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 18
Dec 9, 2024 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • Christian Rasmussen 12' goal
  • Rayane Bounida 90'+7' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 31
Mar 11, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • yellowcard Oualid Agougil 32'
  • goal Jaydon Banel 62'
  • yellowcard Jaydon Banel 74'
  • yellowcard Rida Chahid 90'+7'
  • goal Nassef Chourak 90'+8'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2023 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • Ar'jany Martha 63' yellowcard
  • Kristian Hlynsson 79' goal
  • goal Basar Onal 6'
  • yellowcard Basar Onal 35'
  • yellowcard Jan Lammers 41'
  • yellowcard Rio Hillen 44'
  • goal David Flakus Bosilj 59'
  • yellowcard Donny Warmerdam 80'
  • yellowcard Stan Wevers 90'+6'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2023 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Charlison Benschop 26' goal
  • Charlison Benschop 83' goal
  • Devin Haen 90'+2' goal