Eerste Divisie Gameweek 26
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
Stadion De Vijverberg

De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.30pm
Helmond 0 - 0 De Graafschap
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Bouke Boersma

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 7.00pm
Jong Ajax 2 - 1 Willem II
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a De Graafschap win with a probability of 63.37%. A win for Jong Ajax has a probability of 19.62% and a draw has a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win is 1-2 (5.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.63%).

Result

De Graafschap 63.37% (-1.09)
Draw 17.02% (+0.67)
Jong Ajax 19.62% (+0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.14% (+0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.88% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 11.12% (+0.56)
Over 2.5 73.85%
Under 2.5 26.1% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 53.98% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 46.02% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 38.39% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 61.61% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

De Graafschap 50.43% (+0.29)
Draw 30.52% (-1.25)
Jong Ajax 19.05% (+0.95)

Team To Score First

De Graafschap 65.72% (+1.27)
No Goal 2.18% (+0.26)
Jong Ajax 32.1% (-1.52)

Corners

Over 8 73.61% (+0.30)
Equal 8 8.74% (-0.16)
Under 8 17.65% (-0.15)
Over 9 63.48% (+0.46)
Equal 9 10.14% (-0.15)
Under 9 26.39% (-0.29)
Over 10.5 52.69% (+0.59)
Under 10.5 47.31% (-0.59)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 1.5 68.61% (-1.05)
Under 1.5 31.39% (+1.06)
Over 2.5 45.01% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 54.99% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 23.8% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 76.2% (+0.25)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 57.13% (+0.56)
Under 0.5 42.87% (-0.56)
Over 1.5 30.72% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 69.28% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 11.61% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.39% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.04% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 95.96% (-0.32)

Score analysis

De Graafschap 63.35%
Draw 17.01%
Jong Ajax 19.63%
De Graafschap
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 7.91% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.41)
3-2 @ 6.09%
1-0 @ 5.73% (+0.18)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.40)
Other @ 23.35% (-0.23)
Total : 63.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.63% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63% (+0.29)
0-0 @ 2.18% (+0.26)
3-3 @ 2.12% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.45% (-0.02)
Total : 17.01%
Jong Ajax
1-2 @ 5.49% (+0.55)
0-1 @ 3.2% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.15)
Other @ 3.59% (+0.34)
Total : 19.63%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Oct 3, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 35
Apr 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Jack Cooper Love 2' goal
  • Donny Warmerdam 5' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 18
Dec 9, 2024 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • Christian Rasmussen 12' goal
  • Rayane Bounida 90'+7' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 31
Mar 11, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • yellowcard Oualid Agougil 32'
  • goal Jaydon Banel 62'
  • yellowcard Jaydon Banel 74'
  • yellowcard Rida Chahid 90'+7'
  • goal Nassef Chourak 90'+8'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2023 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • Ar'jany Martha 63' yellowcard
  • Kristian Hlynsson 79' goal
  • goal Basar Onal 6'
  • yellowcard Basar Onal 35'
  • yellowcard Jan Lammers 41'
  • yellowcard Rio Hillen 44'
  • goal David Flakus Bosilj 59'
  • yellowcard Donny Warmerdam 80'
  • yellowcard Stan Wevers 90'+6'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2023 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Charlison Benschop 26' goal
  • Charlison Benschop 83' goal
  • Devin Haen 90'+2' goal