Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (8.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%).