Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.35% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 0-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%) , while for a Jong Ajax win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.