Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.44%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (5.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.