Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.35% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%) , while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.