Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 61.49%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 19.44% and a draw had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.