Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 60.48%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 20.86% and a draw had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.