Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.47%) and 1-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.