Eerste Divisie Gameweek 26
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
De Geusselt

MVV Maastricht vs Jong PSV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 7.00pm
MVV 1 - 1 Almere City
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Stan Van Dessel

Jong PSV

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 7.00pm
Jong PSV 3 - 2 Cambuur
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Robin van Duiven

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Jong PSV has a probability of 28.85% and a draw has a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.47%) and 1-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Jong PSV win is 1-2 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9%).

Result

MVV Maastricht 50.11% (-0.87)
Draw 21.04% (-0.38)
Jong PSV 28.85% (+1.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.28% (+0.52)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.54% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 11.46% (-0.84)
Over 2.5 71.29% (+0.72)
Under 2.5 28.71% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 50.59% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 49.41% (+0.81)
Over 4.5 33.57% (-0.53)
Under 4.5 66.43% (+0.53)

First Half Winner

MVV Maastricht 36.8% (-3.81)
Draw 35.17% (+1.02)
Jong PSV 28.04% (+2.81)

Team To Score First

MVV Maastricht 59.05% (+2.10)
No Goal 2.32% (-0.38)
Jong PSV 38.63% (-1.73)

Corners

Over 8 66.97% (-3.44)
Equal 8 9.9% (+0.50)
Under 8 23.12% (+2.95)
Over 9 56.13% (-3.66)
Equal 9 10.84% (+0.24)
Under 9 33.03% (+3.45)
Over 10.5 45.2% (-3.60)
Under 10.5 54.8% (+3.60)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 1.5 57.73% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 42.27% (+1.25)
Over 2.5 33.4% (-0.88)
Under 2.5 66.6% (+0.87)
Over 3.5 15.92% (-0.87)
Under 3.5 84.08% (+0.86)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5 67.59% (+1.52)
Under 0.5 32.41% (-1.52)
Over 1.5 40.11% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 59.89% (-1.11)
Over 2.5 18.68% (+0.99)
Under 2.5 81.32% (-1.00)
Over 3.5 7.02% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 92.98% (-0.18)

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 50.12%
Draw 21.04%
Jong PSV 28.85%
MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 8.55% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.11)
1-0 @ 5.69% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 5.33% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 5% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.05)
Other @ 15.52% (-0.72)
Total : 50.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 9% (+0.50)
2-2 @ 6.87% (-0.37)
3-3 @ 2.45% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.32% (-0.38)
Other @ 0.4% (-0.16)
Total : 21.04%
Jong PSV
1-2 @ 6.65% (+0.63)
1-3 @ 3.69% (+0.20)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 3.46% (-0.23)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.26)
0-3 @ 1.94% (+0.71)
Other @ 6.62% (+0.33)
Total : 28.85%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Sep 29, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 34
Apr 14, 2025 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Sportcomplex De Herdgang
  • Marcus Younis 9' goal
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 81' goal
  • Ayodele Thomas 90'+1' goal
  • goal Bryan Smeets 29'
  • yellowcard Rayan Buifrahi 39'
  • yellowcard Wout Coomans 52'
  • yellowcard Robyn Esajas 79'
  • goal Nabil El Basri 90'+4'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2024 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Sven Braken 52' yellowcard
  • Sven Braken 55' goal
  • Rayan Buifrahi 66' goal
  • Luca Foubert 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jordy Bawuah 40'
  • goal Jesper Uneken 53'
  • goal Jesper Uneken 86'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2024 7.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT De Geusselt
  • Dailon Rocha 30' goal
  • Mart Remans 47' goal
  • Tunahan Tasci 69' yellowcard
  • Dantaye Gilbert 81' goal
  • goal Mohamed Nassoh 21'
  • goal Jevon Simons 26'
  • yellowcard Tygo Land 77'
  • goal Dantaye Gilbert 90'+4'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2023 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Sportcomplex De Herdgang
  • Matteo Dams 21' goal
  • Dantaye Gilbert 73' goal
  • Mylian Jimenez 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayan Buifrahi 16'
  • goal Mart Remans 59'
  • goal Koen Kostons 90'+3'
  • goal Dailon Rocha 90'+4'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2023 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Ruben van Bommel 71'