Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.28% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%) , while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.