Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.43%) and 1-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.