Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.