Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 55.73%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (5.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.