Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.