Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.8%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.