Eerste Divisie Gameweek 28
Feb 22, 2026 11.15am
Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Roda JC vs MVV Maastricht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Roda JC

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 7.00pm
RKC Waalwijk 1 - 2 Roda JC
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Jack Cooper Love

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 7.00pm
ADO Den Haag 3 - 0 MVV
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Stan Van Dessel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roda JC win with a probability of 63.4%. A draw has a probability of 19.71% and a win for MVV Maastricht has a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.99%) , while for a MVV Maastricht win it is 1-2 (5.17%).

Result

Roda JC 63.4% (+0.05)
Draw 19.71%
MVV Maastricht 16.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.73% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.87% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 17.13% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 62.43% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 37.57% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 39.52% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 60.48% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 25.85% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 74.15% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Roda JC 43.85%
Draw 36.49%
MVV Maastricht 19.66%

Team To Score First

Roda JC 63.59%
No Goal 4.1%
MVV Maastricht 32.31%

Corners

Over 8 72.83% (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.33% (+0.01)
Under 8 17.84% (-0.02)
Over 9 62.03%
Equal 9 10.8% (+0.02)
Under 9 27.17% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 50.62% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 49.38% (+0.02)

Roda JC Goals

Over 1.5 62.75% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 37.25% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 36.78% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 63.22% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 17.81%
Under 3.5 82.19%

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 53.33% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 46.67% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 22.92% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 77.08% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.86% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.14% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.77% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.23% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Roda JC 63.41%
Draw 19.71%
MVV Maastricht 16.89%
Roda JC
2-1 @ 10.01% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.31% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.81%
3-1 @ 7.18% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.85% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 17.61%
Total : 63.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 5.12%
0-0 @ 4.1%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.71%
MVV Maastricht
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.23% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Total : 16.89%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Nov 30, 2025 11.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Robert Klaasen 12' yellowcard
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2025 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT De Geusselt
  • Sven Braken 23' goal
  • Camil Mmaee 48' goal
  • Camil Mmaee 58' goal
  • Sven Braken 78' yellowcard
  • Nabil El Basri 82' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Beerten 42'
  • yellowcard Tim Kother 61'
  • yellowcard Rodney Kongolo 70'
  • yellowcard Thibo Baeten 70'
  • yellowcard 78'
  • yellowcard Nabil El Basri 82'
  • goal Thibo Baeten 85'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parkstad Limburg Stadion
  • Jay Kruiver 13' yellowcard
  • Orhan Dzepar 90' goal
  • Orhan Dzepar 90'+2' yellowcard
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2024 11.15am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT De Geusselt
  • Tim Zeegers 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Beerten 8'
  • goal Arjen van der Heide 11'
  • goal Vaclav Sejk 57'
  • goal Arjen van der Heide 66'
  • yellowcard Enrique Pena Zauner 73'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 16
Nov 26, 2023 11.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parkstad Limburg Stadion
  • Lennerd Daneels 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Kleinen 74'
  • yellowcard Leroy Labylle 90'
  • yellowcard Leroy Labylle 90'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2023 11.15am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nils Roseler 59' goal
  • Terrence Douglas 67' goal
  • goal Matteo Waem 20'