Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.72% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%) , while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.