Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.