Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 60.81%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 19.94% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (4.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%).