Eerste Divisie Gameweek 29
MVV
Feb 27, 2026 7.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT De Geusselt
De Graafschap
  • Sven Braken 9' goal
  • Adam Zaian 41' yellowcard
  • Travis de Jong 60' yellowcard
  • Sven Braken 61' goal
  • Luca Foubert 61' yellowcard
  • Travis de Jong 61' yellowcard
  • Stan Van Dessel 63' goal
  • Simon Francis 85' yellowcard
  • Thijme Verheijen 85' yellowcard
  • goal Nils Eggens 21'
  • goal Reuven Niemeijer 26'
  • yellowcard Kaya Symons 71'
  • yellowcard Kyano Kwint 71'
  • yellowcard Chahid el Allachi 71'
  • yellowcard Fedde de Jong 71'
  • yellowcard Chahid el Allachi 72'
  • yellowcard Stijn Bultman 76'
  • goal Kyano Kwint 80'

MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 11.15am
Roda JC 2 - 0 MVV
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Stan Van Dessel

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.00pm
De Graafschap 1 - 0 Jong Utrecht
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Bouke Boersma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (5.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

MVV Maastricht 26.98% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 21.58% ▲ (+0.02)
De Graafschap 51.45% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.31% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.04% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 13.96% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 67.19% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 32.81% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 46.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 53.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 30.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 69.78% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

MVV Maastricht 26.32%
Draw 37.73%
De Graafschap 35.95%

Team To Score First

MVV Maastricht 40.15% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
De Graafschap 56.61%

Corners

Over 8 67.07% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 10.15%
Under 8 22.78% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 55.93% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 32.93% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 44.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 55.27% ▲ (+0.08)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 1.5 36.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 15.87% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 84.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.27% ▲ (+0.04)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 82.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 17.84% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 57.61% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 42.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 32.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 67.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 14.3%
Under 3.5 85.7%

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 26.97%
Draw 21.57%
De Graafschap 51.45%
MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 5.9%
1-0 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.37%
2-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 26.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.57%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 13.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 51.45%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap
Aug 22, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
MVV
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 31
De Graafschap
Mar 22, 2025 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
MVV
  • Wanya Marcal 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wout Coomans 33'
  • yellowcard Marco Kleinen 55'
  • yellowcard Robyn Esajas 65'
  • yellowcard Lars Schenk 66'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 14
MVV
Nov 8, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT De Geusselt
De Graafschap
  • Tim Zeegers 56' yellowcard
  • Ilano Silva Timas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ralf Seuntjens 58'
  • yellowcard Jeffry Fortes 66'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 36
De Graafschap
Apr 26, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
MVV
  • Jeffry Fortes 35' goal
  • Alexander Buttner 61' yellowcard
  • Anis Yadir 65' goal
  • Tristan van Gilst 71' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 7
MVV
Sep 24, 2023 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT De Geusselt
De Graafschap
  • Tunahan Tasci 27' goal
  • goal Donny Warmerdam 43'
  • goal Jan Lammers 51'
  • yellowcard Donny Warmerdam 71'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 36
De Graafschap
May 5, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
MVV
  • Devin Haen 29' goal
  • Pim Lukassen 90' goal
  • goal Ruben van Bommel 31'

Form Data

Roda JC 2 - 0 MVV
ADO Den Haag 3 - 0 MVV
MVV 2 - 1 Jong PSV
MVV 1 - 1 Almere City
FC Eindhoven 5 - 0 MVV
MVV 2 - 2 Jong Utrecht
De Graafschap 1 - 0 Jong Utrecht
Jong PSV 1 - 2 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 4 - 0 Jong Ajax
Helmond 0 - 0 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 1 - 1 Den Bosch
De Graafschap 2 - 4 RKC Waalwijk