Eerste Divisie Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2026 7.00pm
De Geusselt

MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 11.15am
Roda JC 2 - 0 MVV
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Stan Van Dessel

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.00pm
De Graafschap 1 - 0 Jong Utrecht
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Bouke Boersma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a De Graafschap win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for MVV Maastricht has a probability of 26.98% and a draw has a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win is 2-1 (5.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.09%).

Result

MVV Maastricht 26.98% (-0.06)
Draw 21.58% (+0.02)
De Graafschap 51.45% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.31% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.04% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 13.96% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 67.19% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 32.81% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 46.83% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 53.17% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 30.22% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 69.78% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

MVV Maastricht 26.32%
Draw 37.73%
De Graafschap 35.95%

Team To Score First

MVV Maastricht 40.15% (+0.01)
No Goal 3.24% (-0.01)
De Graafschap 56.61%

Corners

Over 8 67.07% (-0.11)
Equal 8 10.15%
Under 8 22.78% (+0.11)
Over 9 55.93% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.14% (-0.01)
Under 9 32.93% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 44.73% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 55.27% (+0.08)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 1.5 36.86% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.14% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 15.87% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 84.13% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.73% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.27% (+0.04)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 82.16% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 17.84% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 57.61% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 42.39% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 32.44% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 67.56% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 14.3%
Under 3.5 85.7%

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 26.97%
Draw 21.57%
De Graafschap 51.45%
MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 5.9%
1-0 @ 4.52% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.37%
2-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.36% (-0.03)
Total : 26.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.09% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.59% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.24% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.37% (-0.02)
Total : 21.57%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 9.03% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 6.64% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 5.17% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.05% (+0.04)
Other @ 13.93% (+0.01)
Total : 51.45%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Aug 22, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 31
Mar 22, 2025 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Wanya Marcal 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wout Coomans 33'
  • yellowcard Marco Kleinen 55'
  • yellowcard Robyn Esajas 65'
  • yellowcard Lars Schenk 66'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Tim Zeegers 56' yellowcard
  • Ilano Silva Timas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ralf Seuntjens 58'
  • yellowcard Jeffry Fortes 66'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 36
Apr 26, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Jeffry Fortes 35' goal
  • Alexander Buttner 61' yellowcard
  • Anis Yadir 65' goal
  • Tristan van Gilst 71' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 7
Sep 24, 2023 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT De Geusselt
  • Tunahan Tasci 27' goal
  • goal Donny Warmerdam 43'
  • goal Jan Lammers 51'
  • yellowcard Donny Warmerdam 71'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 36
May 5, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Devin Haen 29' goal
  • Pim Lukassen 90' goal
  • goal Ruben van Bommel 31'