Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.