Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.