Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.