Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 54.9%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.21%) and 3-1 (7.13%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.