Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 37.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.67%) and 1-3 (4.82%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.