Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%).