Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.