Eredivisie Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2026 7.00pm
AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 1.30pm
Heerenveen 2 - 2 AZ
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Ro-Zangelo Daal

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 8.00pm
Willem II 0 - 3 Excelsior
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Devin Haen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw has a probability of 22.89% and a win for Willem II has a probability of 15.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.48%) , while for a Willem II win it is 0-1 (4.59%).

Result

AZ Alkmaar 61.85% (-0.25)
Draw 22.89% (+0.04)
Willem II 15.23% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.7% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.96% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 25.04% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 52.31% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 47.69% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 32.37% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 67.63% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 21.14% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 78.86% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 41.77% (-0.23)
Draw 39.28% (+0.13)
Willem II 18.96% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 60.96% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.75% (-0.08)
Willem II 31.29% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 59.67% (-0.75)
Equal 8 10.7% (-0.21)
Under 8 29.64% (+0.97)
Over 9 48.61% (-0.47)
Equal 9 11.06% (-0.28)
Under 9 40.33% (+0.74)
Over 10.5 38.06% (-0.17)
Under 10.5 61.94% (+0.18)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 56.06%
Under 1.5 43.94%
Over 2.5 30.42% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 69.58% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 13.92% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 86.08% (+0.04)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 47.76% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 52.24% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 19.44% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 80.56% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 6.09% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 93.91% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.03% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.97% (-0.04)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 61.85%
Draw 22.89%
Willem II 15.23%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 12.67% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.74% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.83% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.51% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (+0.04)
Other @ 13.73% (-0.03)
Total : 61.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.48% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.75% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.45% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.89%
Willem II
0-1 @ 4.59% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.82% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.94% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.27% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.22% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.84% (+0.04)
Total : 15.23%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 2, 2025 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Amar Abdirahman Ahmed 27' yellowcard
  • Lambert Boris 30' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Bokila 84' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Bokila 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Troy Parrott 28'
  • goal Sven Mijnans 42'
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 3.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 3
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Mexx Meerdink 63' goal
  • yellowcard Lambert Boris 19'
  • goal Kyan Vaesen 37'
  • goal Kyan Vaesen 37'
  • goal Cisse Sandra 41'
  • yellowcard Thomas Didillon 59'
  • yellowcard Raffael Behounek 90'+7'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 20, 2022 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Che Nunnely 7' goal
  • Elton Kabangu 17' goal
  • goal Bruno Martins Indi 35'
  • yellowcard Bruno Martins Indi 54'
  • yellowcard Jordy Clasie 76'
  • yellowcard Jesper Karlsson 86'
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 90'+1'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 18, 2021 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dani de Wit 9' goal
  • Jordy Clasie 62' yellowcard
  • Timon Wellenreuther 76' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 80' yellowcard
  • Albert Gudmundsson 86' goal
  • Albert Gudmundsson 89' goal
  • yellowcard Dries Saddiki 31'
  • goal Elton Kabangu 36'
  • redcard Nikos Michelis 75'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pol Llonch 37' yellowcard
  • Dries Saddiki 74' yellowcard
  • redcard Teun Koopmeiners 5'
  • goal Albert Gudmundsson 72'
  • yellowcard Fredrik Midtsjo 77'
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Dec 20, 2020 3.45pm
5
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Teun Koopmeiners 38' goal
  • Teun Koopmeiners 43' goal
  • Calvin Stengs 53' goal
  • Fredrik Midtsjo 65' goal
  • Jesper Karlsson 69' goal
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 22' (OG)
  • goal Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye 36'
  • yellowcard Derrick Kohn 68'
  • goal Che Nunnely 90'