/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwillog.png)
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Jordy Clasie
32'
-
Tonny Vilhena
29'
-
Devin Haen
81'
AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.95% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 15.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%) , while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
61.7%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
22.95%
▲
(+0.06)
Willem II
15.35%
▲
(+0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
48.89%
▲
(+0.19)
Goals
Over 1.5
75.05%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
24.95%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 2.5
52.39%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
47.61%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
32.45%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
67.52%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
21.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
78.83%
▼
(-0.04)
First Half Winner
AZ Alkmaar
41.76%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
39.33%
▲
(+0.05)
Willem II
18.9%
▼
(-0.07)
Team To Score First
AZ Alkmaar
60.91%
▼
(-0.06)
No Goal
7.72%
▼
(-0.04)
Willem II
31.37%
▲
(+0.09)
Corners
Over 8
59.44%
▼
(-0.24)
Equal 8
10.71%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 8
29.85%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 9
48.39%
▼
(-0.22)
Equal 9
11.05%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
40.56%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 10.5
37.86%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 10.5
62.14%
▲
(+0.21)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 1.5
56.05%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
43.95%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
30.41%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
69.59%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
13.92%
Under 3.5
86.08%
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5
48.03%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 0.5
51.97%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 1.5
19.57%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
80.43%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 2.5
6.13%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
93.87%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
2.04%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
97.96%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
61.71%
Draw
22.95%
Willem II
15.35%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0
@
12.6%
▼
(-0.08)
2-0 @ 11.16% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 13.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 61.71%
2-0 @ 11.16% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 13.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 61.71%
Draw
1-1
@
9.52%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.95%
0-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.95%
Willem II
0-1
@
4.64%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 15.35%
1-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 15.35%
