Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 8.00pm
Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 1.30pm
Willem II 2 - 2 Heerenveen
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Devin Haen

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.30pm
Excelsior 2 - 1 Sparta
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Willem II has a probability of 33.26% and a draw has a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Willem II win is 2-1 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.63%).

Result

Willem II 33.26% (-2.07)
Draw 23.97% (+0.08)
SBV Excelsior 42.77% (+1.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.68% (+0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.19% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 17.81% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 61.36% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 38.64% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 39.36% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 60.64% (-0.37)
Over 4.5 24.03% (+0.42)
Under 4.5 75.97% (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Willem II 26.96% (-1.06)
Draw 36.55% (-1.13)
SBV Excelsior 36.5% (+2.19)

Team To Score First

Willem II 43.19% (-0.75)
No Goal 4.74% (-0.15)
SBV Excelsior 52.07% (+0.90)

Corners

Over 8 59.87% (+1.24)
Equal 8 11.06% (-0.14)
Under 8 29.06% (-1.11)
Over 9 48.43% (+1.29)
Equal 9 11.45% (-0.05)
Under 9 40.13% (-1.24)
Over 10.5 37.54% (+1.22)
Under 10.5 62.46% (-1.22)

Willem II Goals

Over 1.5 39.35% (-1.40)
Under 1.5 60.65% (+1.40)
Over 2.5 17.08% (-0.82)
Under 2.5 82.92% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 5.98% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 94.02% (+0.29)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 76.47% (+1.43)
Under 0.5 23.53% (-1.42)
Over 1.5 47.66% (+1.74)
Under 1.5 52.34% (-1.74)
Over 2.5 23.53% (+1.41)
Under 2.5 76.47% (-1.41)
Over 3.5 9.75% (+0.52)
Under 3.5 90.25% (-0.52)

Score analysis

Willem II 33.27%
Draw 23.97%
SBV Excelsior 42.78%
Willem II
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.42)
1-0 @ 6.19% (-0.32)
2-0 @ 4.49% (-0.31)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.22)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.30)
Other @ 5.69% (-0.35)
Total : 33.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.74% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.07)
Total : 23.97%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 8.68% (+0.47)
0-1 @ 6.9% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 5.7% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 5.04% (+0.33)
2-3 @ 3.67% (+0.26)
0-3 @ 3.33% (+0.17)
Other @ 9.46% (+0.46)
Total : 42.78%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Apr 21, 2019 11.15am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
  • Mounir El Hamdaoui 93' goal
  • goal Renato Tapia 16'
  • yellowcard Diego Palacios 81'
Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2018 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)
  • Freek Heerkens 53' yellowcard
  • Fran Sol 86' goal
  • Kristofer Kristinsson 88' goal
  • Fran Sol 92' yellowcard
  • goal Luigi Bruins 31'
  • yellowcard Ali Messaoud 56'
  • goal Denis Mahmudov 82'
  • yellowcard Anouar Hadouir 91'
  • yellowcard Jeffry Fortes 91'
Eredivisie
Apr 6, 2018 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
  • Luigi Bruins 28' goal
  • Stanley Elbers 45' goal
  • goal Fran Sol 14'
  • yellowcard Jop van der Linden 24'
  • redcard Darryl Lachman 27'
Eredivisie
Aug 13, 2017 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jordens Peters 18' yellowcard
  • 62' yellowcard
  • Ismail Azzaoui 62' yellowcard
  • 65' goal
  • Fran Sol 65' goal
  • 69' yellowcard
  • Pedro Chirivella 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Milan Massop 13'
  • goal 29' (OG)
  • goal Timon Wellenreuther 29' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jurgen Mattheij 44'
  • yellowcard Jurgen Mattheij 44'
  • goal Zakaria El Azzouzi 52'
  • yellowcard Hicham Faik 90'
  • yellowcard Hicham Faik 93'
Eredivisie
Feb 25, 2017 6.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stanley Elbers 76' yellowcard
  • Jordy de Wijs 77' yellowcard
  • Danilo Pantic 91' redcard
  • yellowcard Derick Tshimanga 6'
  • yellowcard Funso Ojo 19'
  • goal Dico Koppers 62'
  • goal Erik Falkenburg 63'
  • yellowcard Jordy Croux 76'
Eredivisie
Feb 5, 2016 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luigi Bruins 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Haemhouts 50'