Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2026 1.30pm
Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.30pm
Willem II 1 - 4 Nijmegen
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Devin Haen

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 8.00pm
Heerenveen 0 - 2 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Luca Oyen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Willem II win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Heerenveen has a probability of 37.17% and a draw has a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Heerenveen win is 1-2 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.38%).

Result

Willem II 38.9% (+0.01)
Draw 23.86% (-0.02)
Heerenveen 37.17% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.33% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.47% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 18.53% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 60.57% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 39.43% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 38.03%
Under 3.5 61.97%
Over 4.5 22.74%
Under 4.5 77.26%

First Half Winner

Willem II 32.08% (+0.04)
Draw 40.84% (+0.05)
Heerenveen 27.08% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Willem II 53.24% (-0.01)
No Goal 4.72% (-0.03)
Heerenveen 42.04% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.78% (+0.10)
Equal 8 10.7% (-0.03)
Under 8 24.52% (-0.09)
Over 9 53.24% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.54% (-0.02)
Under 9 35.22% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 41.85% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 58.15% (-0.11)

Willem II Goals

Over 1.5 43.64% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.36% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.62%
Under 2.5 80.38%
Over 3.5 7.16% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.84% (+0.02)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 72.58% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.42% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 42.97% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.03% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.28% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 80.72% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.31% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.69% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Willem II 38.9%
Draw 23.86%
Heerenveen 37.17%
Willem II
2-1 @ 8.5%
1-0 @ 7.34% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 4.33% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 2.98%
Other @ 6.96% (-0.01)
Total : 38.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.85%
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.86%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.4%
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.11% (+0.03)
Total : 37.17%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2025 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Ion Nicolaescu 11' goal
  • Sam Kersten 32' goal
  • Ilias Sebaoui 66' goal
  • goal Jesse Bosch 75'
  • yellowcard Raffael Behounek 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Jesse Bosch 25' yellowcard
  • Raffael Behounek 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Mickey van der Hart 89' goal
  • yellowcard Levi Smans 53'
  • yellowcard Denzel Hall 64'
  • goal Ion Nicolaescu 85'
  • goal Luuk Brouwers 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Mar 5, 2022 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gorkem Saglam 71' yellowcard
  • Dries Saddiki 90'+3' yellowcard
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Nov 21, 2021 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anthony Musaba 13' yellowcard
  • Anthony Musaba 21' redcard
  • Rami Kaib 36' yellowcard
  • Filip Stevanovic 70' goal
  • Nick Bakker 76' goal
  • Filip Stevanovic 82' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Dresevic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Che Nunnely 69'
  • yellowcard Miquel Nelom 75'
  • redcard Miquel Nelom 78'
Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2021 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sebastian Holmen 28' goal
  • Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 55' goal
  • Che Nunnely 58' goal
  • yellowcard Joey Veerman 59'
  • goal Joey Veerman 73'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Oliver Batista Meier 17' yellowcard
  • Lucas Woudenberg 22' goal
  • Arjen van der Heide 68' yellowcard
  • Pawel Bochniewicz 75' goal
  • yellowcard Pol Llonch 19'
  • yellowcard Miquel Nelom 32'
  • yellowcard Gorkem Saglam 44'