Eredivisie
Aug 30, 2026 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Uriël van Aalst 61' goal
  • Devin Haen 82' goal
  • goal Jacob Trenskow 64'
  • goal Oliver Braude  77'

Willem II vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.30pm
Willem II 1 - 4 Nijmegen
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Devin Haen

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 8.00pm
Heerenveen 0 - 2 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Willem II 39.02% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 23.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Heerenveen 37.1% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.38% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 18.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 60.62% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 39.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 38.16% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 61.84% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 22.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 77.19% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Willem II 32.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 40.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Heerenveen 27.08%

Team To Score First

Willem II 53.34% ▲ (+0.11)
No Goal 4.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Heerenveen 41.97% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 64.9% ▲ (+0.13)
Equal 8 10.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 24.42% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 9 53.36% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 35.1% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 10.5 41.97% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 10.5 58.03% ▼ (-0.12)

Willem II Goals

Over 1.5 43.78% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 56.22% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 19.76% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 80.24% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 7.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 92.76% ▼ (-0.08)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 72.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.73% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Willem II 39%
Draw 23.85%
Heerenveen 37.1%
Willem II
2-1 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.98%
Other @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.85%
0-0 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.85%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.4%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 37.1%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2025 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Ion Nicolaescu 11' goal
  • Sam Kersten 32' goal
  • Ilias Sebaoui 66' goal
  • goal Jesse Bosch 75'
  • yellowcard Raffael Behounek 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Jesse Bosch 25' yellowcard
  • Raffael Behounek 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Mickey van der Hart 89' goal
  • yellowcard Levi Smans 53'
  • yellowcard Denzel Hall 64'
  • goal Ion Nicolaescu 85'
  • goal Luuk Brouwers 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Mar 5, 2022 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gorkem Saglam 71' yellowcard
  • Dries Saddiki 90'+3' yellowcard
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Nov 21, 2021 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anthony Musaba 13' yellowcard
  • Anthony Musaba 21' redcard
  • Rami Kaib 36' yellowcard
  • Filip Stevanovic 70' goal
  • Nick Bakker 76' goal
  • Filip Stevanovic 82' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Dresevic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Che Nunnely 69'
  • yellowcard Miquel Nelom 75'
  • redcard Miquel Nelom 78'
Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2021 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sebastian Holmen 28' goal
  • Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 55' goal
  • Che Nunnely 58' goal
  • yellowcard Joey Veerman 59'
  • goal Joey Veerman 73'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Oliver Batista Meier 17' yellowcard
  • Lucas Woudenberg 22' goal
  • Arjen van der Heide 68' yellowcard
  • Pawel Bochniewicz 75' goal
  • yellowcard Pol Llonch 19'
  • yellowcard Miquel Nelom 32'
  • yellowcard Gorkem Saglam 44'