Eredivisie
Aug 16, 2026 3.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Bernt Klaverboer 7' goal
  • Abdellah Ouazane 33' goal
  • Youri Regeer 57' yellowcard
  • Aaron Bouwman 65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rosa 86' yellowcard
  • goal Jacob Trenskow 45'
  • yellowcard Jacob Trenskow 51'
  • goal Maxence Rivera 82'

Ajax vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 1.30pm
PEC Zwolle 0 - 2 Ajax

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.45pm
Heerenveen 1 - 0 FC Twente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.53% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%) , while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Ajax 65.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 18.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Heerenveen 16.1% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.67% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 15.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 65.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 34.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 43.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 56.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 29.48%
Under 4.5 70.52%

First Half Winner

Ajax 53.31% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 31.84% ▲ (+0.29)
Heerenveen 14.85% ▼ (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Ajax 69.86% ▼ (-0.22)
No Goal 3.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Heerenveen 26.6% ▲ (+0.21)

Corners

Over 8 73.74% ▲ (+0.70)
Equal 8 9.38% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 8 16.88% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 9 62.73% ▲ (+0.72)
Equal 9 11.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 26.26% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 10.5 51.01% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 10.5 48.99% ▼ (-0.66)

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 65.66%
Under 1.5 34.34%
Over 2.5 39.5%
Under 2.5 60.5%
Over 3.5 19.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 80.31% ▼ (-0.02)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 53.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 46.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 23.68%
Under 1.5 76.32%
Over 2.5 7.61%
Under 2.5 92.39%
Over 3.5 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.74% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ajax 65.37%
Draw 18.54%
Heerenveen 16.11%
Ajax
2-1 @ 10.26%
2-0 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.48%
3-0 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 19.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 65.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.54%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.82%
1-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 16.11%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 17, 2026 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Hristiyan Petrov 75' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Eser Gürbüz 84' yellowcard
  • Lasse Nordås 84' yellowcard
  • Luuk Brouwers 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayane Bounida 69'
  • yellowcard Youri Regeer 69'
  • yellowcard Kasper Dolberg 79'
  • yellowcard 85'
  • yellowcard Maher Carrizo 85'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 1, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Jan 19, 2025 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Alireza Jahanbakhsh 87' yellowcard
  • goal Josip Sutalo 20'
  • yellowcard Kian Fitz-Jim 44'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 82'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Kristian Hlynsson 45' goal
  • yellowcard Pawel Bochniewicz 16'
  • yellowcard Oliver Braude 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 1.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 11' goal
  • Osame Sahraoui 38' goal
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 46' goal
  • Sven van Beek 49' yellowcard
  • Mats Kohlert 51' yellowcard
  • Oliver Braude 65' yellowcard
  • Pawel Bochniewicz 72' yellowcard
  • goal Pawel Bochniewicz 51' (OG)
  • goal Chuba Akpom 79'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 3.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Steven Bergwijn 25' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 42' goal
  • Branco van den Boomen 60' yellowcard
  • Chuba Akpom 84' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Pelle van Amersfoort 40'
  • goal Luuk Brouwers 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Simon Olsson 81'