Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Aug 16, 2026 3.45pm
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 1.30pm
PEC Zwolle 0 - 2 Ajax

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.45pm
Heerenveen 1 - 0 FC Twente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 65.08%. A draw has a probability of 18.54% and a win for Heerenveen has a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.33%) , while for a Heerenveen win it is 1-2 (4.49%).

Result

Ajax 65.08%
Draw 18.54%
Heerenveen 16.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.99%
Under 1.5 15.01%
Over 2.5 65.84%
Under 2.5 34.13%
Over 3.5 44.1%
Under 3.5 55.9%
Over 4.5 29.8%
Under 4.5 70.2%

First Half Winner

Ajax 53.64%
Draw 31.49%
Heerenveen 14.87%

Team To Score First

Ajax 70.13%
No Goal 3.44%
Heerenveen 26.43%

Corners

Over 8 73.03%
Equal 8 9.47%
Under 8 17.5%
Over 9 62%
Equal 9 11.03%
Under 9 26.97%
Over 10.5 50.34%
Under 10.5 49.66%

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 65.71%
Under 1.5 34.29%
Over 2.5 39.57%
Under 2.5 60.43%
Over 3.5 19.74%
Under 3.5 80.26%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 53.88%
Under 0.5 46.12%
Over 1.5 24.22%
Under 1.5 75.78%
Over 2.5 7.91%
Under 2.5 92.09%
Over 3.5 2.4%
Under 3.5 97.6%

Score analysis

Ajax 65.09%
Draw 18.54%
Heerenveen 16.41%
Ajax
2-1 @ 10.26%
2-0 @ 8.82%
1-0 @ 8.02%
3-1 @ 7.48%
3-0 @ 6.35%
3-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 19.53%
Total : 65.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.33%
2-2 @ 5.19%
0-0 @ 3.44%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.54%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 4.49%
0-1 @ 3.59%
0-2 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.87%
1-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 16.41%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 17, 2026 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Hristiyan Petrov 75' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Eser Gürbüz 84' yellowcard
  • Lasse Nordås 84' yellowcard
  • Luuk Brouwers 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayane Bounida 69'
  • yellowcard Youri Regeer 69'
  • yellowcard Kasper Dolberg 79'
  • yellowcard 85'
  • yellowcard Maher Carrizo 85'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 1, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Jan 19, 2025 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Alireza Jahanbakhsh 87' yellowcard
  • goal Josip Sutalo 20'
  • yellowcard Kian Fitz-Jim 44'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 82'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Kristian Hlynsson 45' goal
  • yellowcard Pawel Bochniewicz 16'
  • yellowcard Oliver Braude 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 1.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 11' goal
  • Osame Sahraoui 38' goal
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 46' goal
  • Sven van Beek 49' yellowcard
  • Mats Kohlert 51' yellowcard
  • Oliver Braude 65' yellowcard
  • Pawel Bochniewicz 72' yellowcard
  • goal Pawel Bochniewicz 51' (OG)
  • goal Chuba Akpom 79'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 3.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Steven Bergwijn 25' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 42' goal
  • Branco van den Boomen 60' yellowcard
  • Chuba Akpom 84' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Pelle van Amersfoort 40'
  • goal Luuk Brouwers 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Simon Olsson 81'