Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2026 1.30pm
MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 1.30pm
PEC Zwolle 0 - 2 Feyenoord

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 11.15am
Ajax 1 - 1 Utrecht

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw has a probability of 22.84% and a win for PEC Zwolle has a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.12%) , while for a PEC Zwolle win it is 1-0 (5.76%).

Result

PEC Zwolle 22.35% (-0.36)
Draw 22.84% (-0.04)
Ajax 54.77% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.12% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.67% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 21.33% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 56.76% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 43.24% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 34.94% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 65.06% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 21.54% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 78.46% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

PEC Zwolle 19.78%
Draw 37.8% (+0.04)
Ajax 42.41% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

PEC Zwolle 33.39% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.93% (+0.05)
Ajax 60.68% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 65.09% (+0.10)
Equal 8 10.63%
Under 8 24.28% (-0.09)
Over 9 53.61% (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 34.91% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 42.25% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 57.75% (-0.08)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 1.5 26.86% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 73.14% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 9.17% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 90.83% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 2.68% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.32% (+0.06)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 81.28% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 18.72% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 53.82% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 46.18% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 28.46% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 71.54% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 12.53% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 87.47% (-0.08)

Score analysis

PEC Zwolle 22.35%
Draw 22.85%
Ajax 54.77%
PEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 5.76% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 3.18% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.51% (-0.07)
Total : 22.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.93% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.85%
Ajax
0-1 @ 9.61% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.44% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.6% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 5.8% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 5.49% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
Other @ 12.36% (+0.08)
Total : 54.77%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 1, 2026 11.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Ryan Thomas 57' yellowcard
  • Nick Fichtinger 57' yellowcard
  • Kaj de Rooij 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • Odysseus Velanas 82' yellowcard
  • Tijs Velthuis 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven Berghuis 61'
  • yellowcard Kian Fitz-Jim 61'
  • yellowcard Kasper Dolberg 77'
  • yellowcard Takehiro Tomiyasu 77'
  • yellowcard Takehiro Tomiyasu 78'
  • yellowcard Maher Carrizo 89'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 13, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Ryan Thomas 32' yellowcard
  • goal Kenneth Taylor 61'
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Brian Brobbey 27' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 43' yellowcard
  • Jordan Henderson 45' yellowcard
  • Josip Sutalo 63' goal
  • Owen Wijndal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Mbayo 65'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 5, 2024 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • Youri Baas 80' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Fontana 20'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 11.15am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Odysseus Velanas 9' yellowcard
  • Thomas Lam 38' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Vellios 71' yellowcard
  • Filip Krastev 72' goal
  • Anselmo Garcia McNulty 77' yellowcard
  • goal Kristian Hlynsson 12'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 24'
  • yellowcard Sivert Mannsverk 50'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 84'
  • yellowcard Silvano Vos 89'