Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle
Aug 9, 2026 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Ajax
  • Sherel Floranus 57' redcard
  • Gabriël Reiziger 88' yellowcard
  • Koen Kostons 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdellah Ouazane 33'
  • goal Jorthy Mokio 76'
  • yellowcard Davy Klaassen  86'
  • goal Julian Brandt 90'+5'

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 1.30pm
PEC Zwolle 0 - 2 Feyenoord
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Koen Kostons

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 11.15am
Ajax 1 - 1 Utrecht
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Tolu Arokodare

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.86% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%) , while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

PEC Zwolle 22.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 22.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Ajax 54.75% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.04% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.6% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 21.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 56.7% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 43.3% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 34.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 78.49% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

PEC Zwolle 19.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 37.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Ajax 42.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

PEC Zwolle 33.37% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Ajax 60.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65.5% ▲ (+0.41)
Equal 8 10.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 23.91% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 9 54.01% ▲ (+0.40)
Equal 9 11.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 34.5% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 10.5 42.61% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 10.5 57.39% ▼ (-0.36)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 1.5 26.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 81.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 18.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 53.73% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 46.27% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 28.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 71.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 12.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 87.49% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

PEC Zwolle 22.36%
Draw 22.86%
Ajax 54.75%
PEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 5.58%
2-0 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 22.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.86%
Ajax
0-1 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-2 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.47%
Other @ 12.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 54.75%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 25
PEC Zwolle
Mar 1, 2026 11.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Ajax
  • Ryan Thomas 28' yellowcard
  • Ryan Thomas 57' yellowcard
  • Nick Fichtinger 57' yellowcard
  • Simon Graves 66' yellowcard
  • Kaj de Rooij 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • Odysseus Velanas 82' yellowcard
  • Tijs Velthuis 82' yellowcard
  • Sherel Floranus 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven Berghuis 61'
  • yellowcard Kian Fitz-Jim 61'
  • yellowcard Kasper Dolberg 77'
  • yellowcard Takehiro Tomiyasu 77'
  • yellowcard Takehiro Tomiyasu 78'
  • yellowcard Steven Berghuis 78'
  • yellowcard Youri Regeer 87'
  • yellowcard Maher Carrizo 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Ajax
Sep 13, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
PEC Zwolle
  • Davy Klaassen 18' goal
  • Youri Regeer 23' yellowcard
  • Mika Godts 37' goal
  • Owen Wijndal 56' yellowcard
  • Mika Godts 86' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Thomas 64'
  • goal Kaj de Rooij 69'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
PEC Zwolle
Mar 9, 2025 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Ajax
  • Ryan Thomas 32' yellowcard
  • goal Kenneth Taylor 61'
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Ajax
Nov 24, 2024 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
PEC Zwolle
  • Brian Brobbey 27' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 43' yellowcard
  • Jordan Henderson 45' yellowcard
  • Josip Sutalo 63' goal
  • Owen Wijndal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Mbayo 65'
Club Friendlies 1
Ajax
Jul 5, 2024 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
PEC Zwolle
  • Youri Baas 80' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Fontana 20'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
PEC Zwolle
Mar 31, 2024 11.15am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Ajax
  • Odysseus Velanas 9' yellowcard
  • Thomas Lam 38' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Vellios 71' yellowcard
  • Filip Krastev 72' goal
  • Anselmo Garcia McNulty 77' yellowcard
  • goal Kristian Hlynsson 12'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 24'
  • yellowcard Sivert Mannsverk 50'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 84'
  • yellowcard Silvano Vos 89'

Form Data

Hannover 3 - 0 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 2 - 3 AEK Athens
Al Jazira 1 - 0 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 0 - 2 Feyenoord
Sittard 3 - 2 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 1 - 0 Heracles
Ajax 3 - 1 Shelbourne
Volendam 1 - 3 Ajax
Ajax 4 - 1 FK Vojvodina
Ajax 2 - 1 Burnley
FK Vojvodina 1 - 4 Ajax
Ajax 1 - 0 Olympiacos