Eredivisie
Aug 9, 2026 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Sherel Floranus 57' redcard
  • Gabriël Reiziger 88' yellowcard
  • Koen Kostons 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdellah Ouazane 33'
  • goal Jorthy Mokio 76'
  • yellowcard Davy Klaassen  86'
  • goal Julian Brandt 90'+5'

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 1.30pm
PEC Zwolle 0 - 2 Feyenoord

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 11.15am
Ajax 1 - 1 Utrecht

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.86% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%) , while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

PEC Zwolle 22.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 22.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Ajax 54.75% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.04% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.6% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 21.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 56.7% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 43.3% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 34.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 78.49% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

PEC Zwolle 19.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 37.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Ajax 42.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

PEC Zwolle 33.37% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Ajax 60.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65.5% ▲ (+0.41)
Equal 8 10.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 23.91% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 9 54.01% ▲ (+0.40)
Equal 9 11.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 34.5% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 10.5 42.61% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 10.5 57.39% ▼ (-0.36)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 1.5 26.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 81.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 18.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 53.73% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 46.27% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 28.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 71.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 12.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 87.49% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

PEC Zwolle 22.36%
Draw 22.86%
Ajax 54.75%
PEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 5.58%
2-0 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 22.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.86%
Ajax
0-1 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-2 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.47%
Other @ 12.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 54.75%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 1, 2026 11.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Ryan Thomas 57' yellowcard
  • Nick Fichtinger 57' yellowcard
  • Kaj de Rooij 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • Odysseus Velanas 82' yellowcard
  • Tijs Velthuis 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven Berghuis 61'
  • yellowcard Kian Fitz-Jim 61'
  • yellowcard Kasper Dolberg 77'
  • yellowcard Takehiro Tomiyasu 77'
  • yellowcard Takehiro Tomiyasu 78'
  • yellowcard Maher Carrizo 89'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 13, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Ryan Thomas 32' yellowcard
  • goal Kenneth Taylor 61'
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Brian Brobbey 27' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 43' yellowcard
  • Jordan Henderson 45' yellowcard
  • Josip Sutalo 63' goal
  • Owen Wijndal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Mbayo 65'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 5, 2024 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • Youri Baas 80' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Fontana 20'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 11.15am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Odysseus Velanas 9' yellowcard
  • Thomas Lam 38' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Vellios 71' yellowcard
  • Filip Krastev 72' goal
  • Anselmo Garcia McNulty 77' yellowcard
  • goal Kristian Hlynsson 12'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 24'
  • yellowcard Sivert Mannsverk 50'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 84'
  • yellowcard Silvano Vos 89'