Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.25%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.