Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle
May 3, 2026 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Heracles
  • Anselmo García MacNulty 19' goal
  • Nick Fichtinger 72' yellowcard
  • Jamiro Monteiro 73' yellowcard
  • Nick Fichtinger 73' yellowcard
  • Tijs Velthuis 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jannes Wieckhoff 46'
  • yellowcard Erik Ahlstrand 59'
  • yellowcard Bryan Limbombe 59'
  • yellowcard Sava-Arangel Cestic 71'
  • yellowcard Tarik Hamamioglu 87'

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2026 8.00pm
PSV 6 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Shola Shoretire

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 1.30pm
Heracles 0 - 2 Volendam
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jizz Hornkamp

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.18% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%) , while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

PEC Zwolle 55.86% ▼ (-1.80)
Draw 22.18% ▲ (+0.31)
Heracles 21.97% ▲ (+1.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.71% ▲ (+1.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.19% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 18.81% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 2.5 60.27% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 2.5 39.73% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 3.5 37.89% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 3.5 62.11% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 4.5 24.24% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 4.5 75.76% ▼ (-0.48)

First Half Winner

PEC Zwolle 44.13%
Draw 38.14%
Heracles 17.73%

Team To Score First

PEC Zwolle 62.45% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 4.97% ▼ (-0.09)
Heracles 32.58% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.94%
Equal 8 10.4%
Under 8 23.66%
Over 9 54.62%
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 34.06%
Over 10.5 43.35%
Under 10.5 56.65%

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 1.5 56.3% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 1.5 43.7% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 2.5 31.02% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 2.5 68.98% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 3.5 14.04% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 3.5 85.96% ▲ (+0.47)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5 58.36% ▲ (+1.71)
Under 0.5 41.64% ▼ (-1.71)
Over 1.5 28.12% ▲ (+1.97)
Under 1.5 71.88% ▼ (-1.97)
Over 2.5 10.31% ▲ (+1.26)
Under 2.5 89.69% ▼ (-1.27)
Over 3.5 3.19% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 3.5 96.81% ▼ (-0.58)

Score analysis

PEC Zwolle 55.84%
Draw 22.17%
Heracles 21.96%
PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.14)
1-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.31)
2-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.41)
3-1 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.37)
3-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 13.71% ▼ (-0.52)
Total : 55.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.20)
0-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 0.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 22.17%
Heracles
1-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.27)
0-1 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.22)
0-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.53)
Total : 21.96%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Heracles
Nov 2, 2025 11.15am
8
2
HT : 0 0
FT
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Heracles
Mar 2, 2025 1.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Erve Asito
PEC Zwolle
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 8' goal
  • Ivan Mesik 40' yellowcard
  • Thomas Bruns 44' goal
  • Juho Talvitie 58' goal
  • Jizz Hornkamp 63' goal
  • yellowcard Damian van der Haar 8'
  • goal Dylan Vente 9'
  • yellowcard Jamiro Monteiro 18'
  • goal Anselmo Garcia McNulty 32'
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
PEC Zwolle
Sep 1, 2024 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Heracles
  • Dylan Vente 13' goal
  • Nick Fichtinger 62' yellowcard
  • Dylan Mbayo 78' goal
  • Filip Krastev 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Ivan Mesik 36'
  • yellowcard Sem Scheperman 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
PEC Zwolle
Apr 28, 2024 11.15am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Heracles
  • Lennart Thy 16' goal
  • Younes Namli 49' yellowcard
  • Silvester van der Water 69' goal
  • Filip Krastev 75' yellowcard
  • Thomas Lam 82' yellowcard
  • Filip Krastev 90'+3' goal
  • goal Marko Vejinovic 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Brian De Keersmaecker 53'
  • yellowcard Ajdin Hrustic 89'
  • yellowcard Thomas Bruns 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Heracles
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Polman Stadion
PEC Zwolle
  • Thomas Bruns 58' yellowcard
  • Emil Hansson 69' goal
  • Emil Hansson 82' goal
  • yellowcard Odysseus Velanas 15'
  • yellowcard Thomas Lam 29'
  • goal Lennart Thy 53'
  • yellowcard Zico Buurmeester 76'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 20
Heracles
Jan 15, 2023 1.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT
PEC Zwolle
  • goal Samir Lagsir 8'
  • goal Thomas van den Belt 35'
  • goal Lennart Thy 39'

Form Data

PSV 6 - 1 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 2 - 2 Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles 5 - 0 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 2 - 1 NAC Breda
PEC Zwolle 1 - 1 Groningen
Sparta 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Heracles 0 - 2 Volendam
Heracles 0 - 3 Ajax
Heerenveen 4 - 1 Heracles
Heracles 1 - 1 Excelsior
AZ 4 - 0 Heracles
Heracles 0 - 0 Utrecht