Club Friendlies 3
Jul 3, 2026 1.00am
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 6, 2026 1.30pm
Hoffenheim 0 - 0 Heerenveen

De Graafschap

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 10.00am
Utrecht 1 - 2 De Graafschap

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for De Graafschap has a probability of 33.38% and a draw has a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.1%) and 3-1 (5.8%). The likeliest De Graafschap win is 1-2 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.22%).

Result

Heerenveen 44.78% (+0.18)
Draw 21.84% (-0.02)
De Graafschap 33.38% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.7% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.31% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 14.69% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 66.9% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 33.1% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 45.76% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 54.24% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 28.91% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 71.09% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Heerenveen 37.12% (-0.14)
Draw 33.56% (+0.22)
De Graafschap 29.32% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Heerenveen 52.96% (+0.24)
No Goal 3.25%
De Graafschap 43.79% (-0.24)

Corners

Over 8 67.52% (+0.34)
Equal 8 9.9% (-0.01)
Under 8 22.58% (-0.34)
Over 9 56.65% (+0.30)
Equal 9 10.87% (+0.04)
Under 9 32.48% (-0.35)
Over 10.5 45.69% (+0.24)
Under 10.5 54.31% (-0.24)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 1.5 51.85% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 48.15% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 27.16% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 72.84% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 11.47% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.53% (-0.02)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 71.05% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 28.95% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 42.04% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 57.96% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 19.14% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 80.86% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 7.32% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 92.68% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Heerenveen 44.78%
Draw 21.85%
De Graafschap 33.37%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 8.65% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.1% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.8% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.63% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.2% (+0.04)
Other @ 11.11% (+0.02)
Total : 44.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.25%
3-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.85%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.34% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.96% (-0.08)
Total : 33.37%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2019 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen)
  • Lucas Woudenberg 62' yellowcard
  • Doke Schmidt 77' yellowcard
  • goal Charlison Benschop 3'
  • yellowcard Azor Matusiwa 49'
  • goal Javier Vet 68'
  • goal Delano Burgzorg 70'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2018 7.45pm
0
5
HT : 0 4
FT Stadion De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)
  • Erik Bakker 51' redcard
  • goal Sam Lammers 25'
  • goal Sam Lammers 28'
  • goal Michel Vlap 36'
  • goal Michel Vlap 40'
  • goal Jizz Hornkamp 88'
Eredivisie
Feb 28, 2016 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Robin Propper 52' yellowcard
  • Karim Tarfi 71' yellowcard
  • Tolgahan Cicek 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erwin Mulder 45'
  • goal Morten Thorsby 66'
  • yellowcard Joey Van den Berg 78'
Eredivisie
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Simon Thern 23' goal
  • Mitchell te Vrede 36' goal
  • Simon Thern 54' goal
  • goal Vincent Vermeij 82'