Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 38.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.38%) and 0-1 (5.22%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 2-1 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.