Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (5.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.