Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.