Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 15.94% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 11.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%) , while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.