Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.