Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (6.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.