Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.21%) and 0-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (5.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.