Eerste Divisie
Willem II
Mar 28, 2026 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
De Graafschap
  • Armin Culum 71' yellowcard
  • Uriël van Aalst 71' yellowcard
  • Samuel Bamba 71' yellowcard
  • Uriël van Aalst 72' yellowcard
  • Samuel Bamba 72' yellowcard
  • Gijs Besselink 82' yellowcard
  • goal Chahid el Allachi 22'
  • yellowcard Jevon Simons 61'
  • goal Jevon Simons 65'
  • yellowcard Fedde de Jong 81'
  • yellowcard Joran Hardeman 81'
  • yellowcard Kyano Kwint 81'
  • yellowcard Kaya Symons 86'
  • yellowcard Milan Smits 86'

Willem II vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 3.45pm
MVV 0 - 5 Willem II
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Devin Haen

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 11.15am
De Graafschap 1 - 2 ADO Den Haag
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Bouke Boersma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.21%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Willem II 35.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 23.02%
De Graafschap 41.47% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.97% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.11%
Under 1.5 15.89%
Over 2.5 64.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 35.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 42.88%
Under 3.5 57.12%
Over 4.5 26.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 73.36% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Willem II 30.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 37.48% ▲ (+0.01)
De Graafschap 31.76% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Willem II 46.3% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 3.8% ▼ (-0.02)
De Graafschap 49.9% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 71.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.43% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 8 18.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 61.03% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 10.81% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 9 28.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 49.72% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 10.5 50.28% ▼ (-0.15)

Willem II Goals

Over 1.5 43.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.27% ▼ (-0.02)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 76.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 48.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 23.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 76.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.51%
Under 3.5 90.49%

Score analysis

Willem II 35.46%
Draw 23.02%
De Graafschap 41.48%
Willem II
2-1 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.31%
Total : 35.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86%
2-2 @ 6.87%
0-0 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.02%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-1 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 41.48%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap
Sep 12, 2025 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Willem II
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 25
De Graafschap
Feb 9, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
Willem II
  • Giovanni Buttner 83' yellowcard
  • Donny Warmerdam 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Basar Onal 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Thijs Oosting 9'
  • goal Ringo Meerveld 49'
  • yellowcard Nick Doodeman 61'
  • yellowcard Matthias Verreth 90'+5'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 9
Willem II
Oct 6, 2023 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
De Graafschap
  • Rio Hillen 28' goal
  • Runar Thor Sigurgeirsson 70' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Bokila 77' goal
  • Jeremy Bokila 79' goal
  • Max de Waal 83' goal
  • goal Basar Onal 22'
  • goal Simon Colyn 58'
  • yellowcard Donny Warmerdam 80'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 35
Willem II
Apr 29, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
De Graafschap
  • Elton Kabangu 35' goal
  • Niels van Berkel 68' goal
  • Jeremy Bokila 71' goal
  • goal Philip Brittijn 54'
  • goal Camiel Neghli 57'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 18
De Graafschap
Dec 16, 2022 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Willem II
  • goal Elton Kabangu 23'
  • goal Rio Hillen 77' (OG)
  • goal Max Svensson 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Willem II
Mar 9, 2019 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)
De Graafschap
  • Alexander Isak 13' goal
  • Alexander Isak 22' goal
  • Fernando Lewis 64' goal
  • Marious Vrousai 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ted van de Pavert 21'
  • goal Bart Straalman 33'
  • goal Youssef El Jebli 70'
  • yellowcard Erik Bakker 75'
  • yellowcard Youssef El Jebli 92'
  • yellowcard Daryl van Mieghem 92'

Form Data

MVV 0 - 5 Willem II
Oss 1 - 3 Willem II
Willem II 1 - 1 Den Bosch
Emmen 0 - 3 Willem II
Willem II 0 - 1 ADO Den Haag
Willem II 3 - 0 Vitesse
De Graafschap 1 - 2 ADO Den Haag
De Graafschap 2 - 1 Dordrecht
De Graafschap 1 - 4 Vitesse
MVV 3 - 3 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 1 - 0 Jong Utrecht
Jong PSV 1 - 2 De Graafschap