Eerste Divisie Gameweek 32
Mar 28, 2026 5.45pm
Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 3.45pm
MVV 0 - 5 Willem II
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Devin Haen

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 11.15am
De Graafschap 1 - 2 ADO Den Haag
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Bouke Boersma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a De Graafschap win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Willem II has a probability of 35.46% and a draw has a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.21%). The likeliest Willem II win is 2-1 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.86%).

Result

Willem II 35.46% (+0.01)
Draw 23.02%
De Graafschap 41.47% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.97% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.11%
Under 1.5 15.89%
Over 2.5 64.66% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 35.34% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 42.88%
Under 3.5 57.12%
Over 4.5 26.64% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 73.36% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Willem II 30.76% (-0.03)
Draw 37.48% (+0.01)
De Graafschap 31.76% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Willem II 46.3% (-0.02)
No Goal 3.8% (-0.02)
De Graafschap 49.9% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 71.84% (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.43% (-0.07)
Under 8 18.72% (+0.04)
Over 9 61.03% (+0.08)
Equal 9 10.81% (-0.08)
Under 9 28.16% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 49.72% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 50.28% (-0.15)

Willem II Goals

Over 1.5 43.23% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.77% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.08% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.92% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.73% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.27% (-0.02)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 76.38% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.62% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 48.13% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.87% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 23.82% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 76.18% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.51%
Under 3.5 90.49%

Score analysis

Willem II 35.46%
Draw 23.02%
De Graafschap 41.48%
Willem II
2-1 @ 7.75% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.37% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.31%
Total : 35.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86%
2-2 @ 6.87%
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.42% (+0.02)
Total : 23.02%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.09% (-0.01)
Total : 41.48%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Sep 12, 2025 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 25
Feb 9, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Giovanni Buttner 83' yellowcard
  • Donny Warmerdam 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Basar Onal 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Thijs Oosting 9'
  • goal Ringo Meerveld 49'
  • yellowcard Nick Doodeman 61'
  • yellowcard Matthias Verreth 90'+5'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2023 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Rio Hillen 28' goal
  • Runar Thor Sigurgeirsson 70' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Bokila 77' goal
  • Jeremy Bokila 79' goal
  • Max de Waal 83' goal
  • goal Basar Onal 22'
  • goal Simon Colyn 58'
  • yellowcard Donny Warmerdam 80'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 35
Apr 29, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Elton Kabangu 35' goal
  • Niels van Berkel 68' goal
  • Jeremy Bokila 71' goal
  • goal Philip Brittijn 54'
  • goal Camiel Neghli 57'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2022 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Elton Kabangu 23'
  • goal Rio Hillen 77' (OG)
  • goal Max Svensson 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2019 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)
  • Alexander Isak 13' goal
  • Alexander Isak 22' goal
  • Fernando Lewis 64' goal
  • Marious Vrousai 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ted van de Pavert 21'
  • goal Bart Straalman 33'
  • goal Youssef El Jebli 70'
  • yellowcard Erik Bakker 75'
  • yellowcard Youssef El Jebli 92'
  • yellowcard Daryl van Mieghem 92'