Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%).