Eerste Divisie Gameweek 33
Mar 22, 2026 3.45pm
De Geusselt

MVV Maastricht vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2026 7.00pm
Jong AZ 1 - 1 MVV
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Stan Van Dessel

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.00pm
Oss 1 - 3 Willem II
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Devin Haen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Willem II win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for MVV Maastricht has a probability of 29.01% and a draw has a probability of 23.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win is 2-1 (6.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.46%).

Result

MVV Maastricht 29.01% (+0.06)
Draw 23.45%
Willem II 47.54% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.69% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.11% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 17.89% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 61.18% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 38.82% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 39.31% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 60.69% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 24.03% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 75.97% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

MVV Maastricht 27.11%
Draw 38.82%
Willem II 34.07%

Team To Score First

MVV Maastricht 42.84% (-0.01)
No Goal 4.49% (+0.01)
Willem II 52.67%

Corners

Over 8 69.43% (+0.31)
Equal 8 9.93% (-0.04)
Under 8 20.64% (-0.26)
Over 9 58.3% (+0.31)
Equal 9 11.14%
Under 9 30.57% (-0.31)
Over 10.5 46.89% (+0.29)
Under 10.5 53.11% (-0.29)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 1.5 35.79%
Under 1.5 64.21%
Over 2.5 14.56% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.44% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.1% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.9% (+0.02)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 79.39% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 20.61% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 51.22% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 48.78% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 26.01% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 73.99% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 10.61% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 89.39% (+0.02)

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 29.01%
Draw 23.44%
Willem II 47.54%
MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 6.85% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.78% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.85% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 1.67% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.81%
Total : 29.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.46%
0-0 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.02)
Total : 23.44%
Willem II
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-1 @ 7.61% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.57% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 4.07% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.32% (-0.01)
Total : 47.54%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Oct 26, 2025 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 35
Apr 20, 2024 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Dailon Rocha 11' goal
  • Dailon Rocha 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Khaled Razak 68'
  • goal Jeredy Hilterman 90'+3'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 5
Sep 8, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Jesse Bosch 34' goal
  • Freek Heerkens 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Matthias Verreth 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Runar Thor Sigurgeirsson 63' yellowcard
  • Freek Heerkens 69' goal
  • Joshua Smits 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tunahan Tasci 29'
  • yellowcard Marco Kleinen 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Tim Zeegers 56'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 30
Mar 26, 2023 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Elton Kabangu 20' goal
  • Joeri Schroyen 90'+2' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2022 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Marco Kleinen 70' goal
  • Koen Kostons 86' goal
  • Rein Van Helden 90'+5' goal
  • goal Michael de Leeuw 4'
  • goal Nick Doodeman 18'