Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (5.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.