Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.56% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%) , while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.