Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.