Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 2-1 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.