Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.