Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Almere City
May 6, 2026 5.45pm
Yanmar Stadion
De Graafschap

Almere City vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

De Graafschap

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Almere City win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for De Graafschap has a probability of 35.71% and a draw has a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.78%) and 3-1 (5.12%). The likeliest De Graafschap win is 1-2 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.93%).

Result

Almere City 42.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 21.82% ▲ (+0.02)
De Graafschap 35.71% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.88%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 14.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 67.85%
Under 2.5 32.15%
Over 3.5 45.66%
Under 3.5 54.34%
Over 4.5 29.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 70.4% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Almere City 34.55%
Draw 34.47%
De Graafschap 30.98%

Team To Score First

Almere City 51.18%
No Goal 3.15% ▼ (-0.02)
De Graafschap 45.67% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 68.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 9.86%
Under 8 21.3%
Over 9 57.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.99%
Under 9 31.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 46.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 53.38% ▲ (+0.02)

Almere City Goals

Over 1.5 50.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 49.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 25.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 88.86% ▲ (+0.02)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 72.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.52%
Under 1.5 55.48%
Over 2.5 21.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.5%
Under 3.5 91.5%

Score analysis

Almere City 42.43%
Draw 21.8%
De Graafschap 35.71%
Almere City
2-1 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12%
2-0 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.1%
Other @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 42.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 6.84%
0-0 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.37%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 21.8%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-1 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.99%
Total : 35.71%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 23
Almere City
Jan 18, 2026 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Yanmar Stadion
De Graafschap
  • Junior Kadile 61' goal
  • Olivier de Nijs 80' yellowcard
  • Joey Jacobs 88' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Poku 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Levi Schoppema 60'
  • yellowcard Fedde de Jong 60'
  • yellowcard K. Kwint 76'
  • yellowcard Milan Smits 76'
  • yellowcard Nathan Kaninda 84'
Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap
Sep 29, 2025 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Almere City
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 21
Almere City
Jan 20, 2023 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
De Graafschap
  • Pascu 40' goal
  • Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp 65' goal
  • goal Jeffry Fortes 2'
  • goal Siem de Jong 61'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 7
De Graafschap
Sep 16, 2022 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Almere City
  • Charlison Benschop 14' goal
  • goal Lance Duijvestijn 67'
  • goal Anthony Limbombe 72'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 23
De Graafschap
Jan 21, 2022 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Almere City
  • Ted van de Pavert 54' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Korte 90' goal
  • yellowcard Lance Duijvestijn 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Thijs van Leeuwen 45'+5'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 10
Almere City
Oct 10, 2021 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
De Graafschap
  • Bram van Vlerken 46' goal
  • Thijs van Leeuwen 66' yellowcard
  • Thibaut Lesquoy 70' yellowcard
  • Frederik Helstrup 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joey Konings 36'
  • goal Jasper Van Heertum 63'
  • goal Julian Lelieveld 79'

Form Data

Almere City 3 - 0 Den Bosch
Den Bosch 2 - 3 Almere City
VVV-Venlo 3 - 1 Almere City
Almere City 4 - 1 Dordrecht
Willem II 2 - 1 Almere City
Almere City 1 - 2 Den Bosch
Emmen 1 - 0 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 3 - 1 Cambuur
VVV-Venlo 3 - 3 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 5 - 0 Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven 2 - 2 De Graafschap
Willem II 0 - 2 De Graafschap