Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 54.9%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.