Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.