Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 3-1 (5.06%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.